MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58cec6692a9252e052c169de2df421a70310b21aeab5b9d9ea7ee307d7f3e722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 44c | 12,679$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 39c | 9,363$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Rays | 56c | 9,161$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.08 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 62c | 7,168$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 55c | 2,831$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.32 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Rays | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 56c | 2,330$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…346fbacked Astros | 44c | 2,256$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Astros | 77c | 2,165$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.17 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 43c | 1,658$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.11 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Astros | 76c | 1,071$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 55c | 1,056$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Astros | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Astros | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…76b4backed Astros | 44c | 999.88$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Rays | 55c | 964.94$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 44c | 949.91$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.14 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 23c | 920.39$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.87 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 44c | 909.84$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Rays | 55c | 901.81$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rays | 55c | 691.79$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Astros | 73c | 672.47$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 65c | 616.42$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Astros | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Rays | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Rays | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 63c | 394.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Astros | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Rays | 57c | 386.1$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Rays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Astros | 54c | 334.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 54c | 316.35$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Rays | 56c | 302.18$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…94bebacked Rays | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 30c | 298.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Rays | 56c | 289.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Astros | 55c | 278.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Rays | 23c | 270$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 74c | 265.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Rays | 58c | 228.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 56c | 205.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Astros | 42c | 203.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 55c | 149.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 27c | 141.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…89d4backed Rays | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rays | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…2e84backed Astros | 44c | 117.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…34c9backed Astros | 45c | 117.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Astros | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…7217backed Rays | 57c | 113.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…aaf6backed Rays | 56c | 100.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Astros | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Astros | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rays | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Rays | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…33a7backed Rays | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Astros | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Rays | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Rays | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848a…53dabacked Astros | 45c | 99.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…85c3backed Rays | 56c | 97.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…7b57backed Astros | 45c | 97.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…0fdfbacked Rays | 56c | 94.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…cd14backed Rays | 56c | 92.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Astros | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1f…bc9fbacked Astros | 45c | 89.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Astros | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…ad21backed Astros | 45c | 88.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…2f09backed Rays | 56c | 87.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…9470backed Astros | 45c | 84.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…b635backed Rays | 57c | 84.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 44c | 80.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Astros | 61c | 80.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rays | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…0701backed Rays | 56c | 78.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…48c4backed Astros | 44c | 78.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a3…4889backed Astros | 45c | 71.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Rays | 50c | 71.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Rays | 44c | 68.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…8068backed Rays | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41fd…3c0fbacked Rays | 56c | 66.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Astros | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Astros | 52c | 62.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…ed7abacked Rays | 56c | 62.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…3338backed Rays | 57c | 60.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…c545backed Rays | 55c | 57.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Astros | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays | 56c | 51.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Rays | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…612fbacked Rays | 55c | 49.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…46a1backed Astros | 45c | 47.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Astros | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 45c | 44.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.