TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x903f…46a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT4566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.65
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.69
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.11
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.25
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.06
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.12
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.57
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.57
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.57
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.52
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Spread: Suns (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$3.93
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.4
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.06
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$13
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.43
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.21
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.88
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.07
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$11
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.41
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.3
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.01
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$17.86
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.23
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.31
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.41
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.53
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.67
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.31
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+61.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.21
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.04
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$26.28
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.92
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+361%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+361%+$201.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.