TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Over49c45,101$22,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,815.71,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c17,202$8,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,429.1644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c14,847$7,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,473.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under49c11,999$5,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.4724744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb050…7a3dbacked Under55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Over51c4,709$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.4712144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c4,000$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c3,089$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c2,999$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5418…aaabbacked Over45c2,600$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…818abacked Over45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over46c1,995$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.327747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c1,280$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,180$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over50c1,119$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.721,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under35c1,025$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c995.9$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.082,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.98$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under48c559.04$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3423850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c514.76$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c491$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.541,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c465.67$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b5a…00f7backed Over45c454.53$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c406.75$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c335.74$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.871,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under50c260.26$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8315649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c209.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c201.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.993,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10241052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c189.85$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.822,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed Under53c188.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Over46c166.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.147152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under51c102.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.513750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c100.11$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.062,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5142551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4749351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c91.12$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over65c86.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.491,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under43c85.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under24c80.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3424330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.816951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under50c73.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7611651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6730616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a6e…5741backed Under52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-49.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.615154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…e229backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305560%33 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under44c57.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3118957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over68c49.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8359141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c45.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.492,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c44.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.863,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10bb…a0b7backed Under56c44.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over50c38.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1357657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under50c35.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.987346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d4…a6b4backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1730840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x440f…6c5abacked Over50c32.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.255358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2576…b2f2backed Over50c31.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Under53c30.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3414352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7740960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…33f9backed Under51c30.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x150b…b039backed Under52c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x903f…46a1backed Over50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe620…418bbacked Under51c25.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d9…4007backed Over50c25.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over69c21.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7421642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over51c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.819346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under53c18.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.058651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.