NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7746f56d66843c71bcbc50d197d63b84e36569e197673d8ff281e24de13dda29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 53c | 13,828$7,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.3 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 12,483$5,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 6,628$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 4,031$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.02 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 3,631$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.94 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 3,022$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 48c | 2,475$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.88 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 2,207$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.3 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 47c | 1,086$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,018$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.13 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 56c | 643.72$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.35 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 44c | 384.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 44c | 275.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 46c | 205.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 154.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 108.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 103.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 56c | 98.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 52c | 77.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 60.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…c780backed Over | 56c | 51.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 51.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…7af9backed Under | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 60c | 21.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…c07bbacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trendon Watford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.