NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b457409f1a8adf9dbbd86bd46b9fa79538c37145223cabef285f131ac8eafc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof 76ers, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 8,593$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.86 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…350cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 7,850$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked 76ers | 49c | 7,850$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…60bcbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 7,815$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed 76ers | 49c | 7,815$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.35 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked 76ers | 43c | 7,770$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed 76ers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,746$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.5 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed 76ers | 50c | 3,661$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.58 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 47c | 2,947$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed 76ers | 45c | 1,791$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.77 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,747$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.78 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 46c | 1,604$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 45c | 1,540$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked 76ers | 44c | 1,320$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,288$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…ff20backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,141$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed 76ers | 45c | 1,097$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.65 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed 76ers | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 28c | 830.36$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe874…d49fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…fb53backed 76ers | 48c | 530$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…4041backed 76ers | 48c | 470$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 453.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…77a8backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked 76ers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 385$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 213.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked 76ers | 43c | 106.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…5631backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 76ers | 48c | 92.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 84.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 53.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed 76ers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 51.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked 76ers | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed 76ers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed 76ers | 48c | 41.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed 76ers | 34c | 40.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 39.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed 76ers | 41c | 38.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked 76ers | 44c | 33.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 33.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed 76ers | 47c | 33.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 31.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed 76ers | 45c | 26.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed 76ers | 43c | 23.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 23.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 21.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trendon Watford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.