TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof 76ers, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,783 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e2…a59fbacked 76ers39c35,041$13,666 inLost-$13,666.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b1…fb6ebacked Trail Blazers61c17,998$10,979 inWon+$7,019.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f0…2e3bbacked Trail Blazers61c16,706$10,191 inWon+$6,515.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers61c3,985$2,431 inWon+$1,5546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers39c3,985$1,554 inLost-$1,55429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers56c1,668$939 inWon+$728.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers49c1,225$600 inLost-$600.252,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers49c1,169$579 inLost-$578.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Trail Blazers61c1,037$632 inWon+$404.271855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers39c700$273 inLost-$2733,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers51c369$188 inWon+$180.812,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed 76ers43c105.23$45 inLost-$4552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers57c100.23$57 inWon+$43.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked 76ers40c100$40 inLost-$4033360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed 76ers43c90.95$40 inLost-$39.5653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Trail Blazers48c75$36 inWon+$38.6738252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Trail Blazers69c72.81$50 inWon+$22.8140344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked 76ers40c40.3$16 inLost-$16.1250841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers54c36$19 inLost-$19.382,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98df…41b7backed 76ers44c31$14 inLost-$13.642650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers49c26.51$13 inWon+$13.63,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.