NBA · resolved market
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x082ef1f7577b1765829bec6aaf643e4b0c17de6239509dc99aec8a0e50871ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 13c | 3,725$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.69 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 52c | 2,227$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.93 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yes | 47c | 1,490$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.3 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed No | 53c | 174.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 45c | 105.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Yes | 42c | 68.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 216 | 72.2%156 W · 60 L | +28.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed No | 53c | 28.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trendon Watford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.