TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe351…c780

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.08
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.69
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.13
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.11
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.55
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.25
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.52
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.83
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.06
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.13
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.45
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$32.71
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$27.56
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+77.5%+$22.59
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37.72
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.44
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.59
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$27.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$28.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.