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Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
USAof Netherlands, USA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$677,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$722,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,616 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed USA52c78,162$40,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,659.1116546.1%76 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Netherlands47c63,439$29,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,736.261338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Netherlands1c52,344$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.91717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed USA78c48,457$37,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,474.7816349.7%81 W · 82 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed USA74c32,428$23,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,532.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick27cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Netherlands45c19,660$8,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,823.374637%17 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked Netherlands1c16,180$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.66775.2%4 W · 73 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked USA56c14,414$8,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,339.1436645.6%167 W · 199 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Netherlands58c12,822$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4009851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Netherlands16c12,356$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.8826130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed Netherlands32c12,192$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.2415335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked USA55c11,649$6,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,241.213151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed USA43c10,580$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,082.083537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Netherlands49c9,683$4,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,791.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Netherlands44c9,171$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.529831.2%93 W · 205 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Netherlands33c7,000$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.511445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Netherlands29c6,589$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.535637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c68…072dbacked Netherlands46c6,448$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.256237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Netherlands29c5,938$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.85933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Netherlands46c5,822$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.864143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed USA50c5,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48019023.7%45 W · 145 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Netherlands58c4,662$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.884671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Netherlands48c4,389$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.799241.3%38 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed USA58c4,265$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.9833042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed USA66c3,901$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.174637%17 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked USA63c3,833$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.584639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Netherlands0c3,548$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4413526.7%36 W · 99 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed USA56c3,436$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.726833.8%23 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b27…227ebacked USA67c3,344$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.844540%18 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked USA40c3,044$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.0429049%142 W · 148 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed USA52c2,861$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48be…9ce9backed USA64c2,403$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.312867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Netherlands7c2,393$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3231027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6eb…2d3dbacked Netherlands1c2,349$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.96540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick11cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Netherlands48c2,012$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x327a…2381backed Netherlands1c2,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212122.3%27 W · 94 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked USA44c1,769$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.0933046.1%152 W · 178 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ad…993dbacked USA54c1,681$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.0411058.2%64 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked USA42c1,551$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed USA78c1,530$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.314168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa647…a412backed Netherlands25c1,460$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Netherlands48c1,373$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.4911153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Netherlands1c1,371$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.294119.5%8 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd760…2fa4backed USA79c1,359$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135f…2a21backed Netherlands16c1,215$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa105…8687backed USA77c1,211$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.59757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7e…4c42backed Netherlands36c1,193$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4b…c16cbacked Netherlands7c1,149$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8303.3%1 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-94%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c87…0e20backed USA77c1,093$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-81.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed USA66c1,065$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6614852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked USA79c1,050$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.418949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed USA48c1,035$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.735655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Netherlands25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509330.1%28 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd367…0957backed USA78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Netherlands35c966.01$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.293148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7670…83aebacked Netherlands33c912.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe1e…2f7bbacked Netherlands3c900$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…b36abacked USA78c884.05$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Netherlands27c840$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22314431.9%46 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Netherlands1c789.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-89.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Netherlands31c774.51$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.26669.1%6 W · 60 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked USA68c745.04$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9377351.6%399 W · 374 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Netherlands22c700.35$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.411122.5%25 W · 86 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked USA43c688.66$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9714546.2%67 W · 78 L+16.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa7f1…167ebacked USA45c677.66$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked USA70c650$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8efa…416ebacked Netherlands31c646.67$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.21323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb4…f89dbacked USA63c625.33$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.924254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Netherlands54c599.97$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Netherlands24c596.09$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0622552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Netherlands55c581.42$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed USA48c549.55$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6415429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Netherlands13c543.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6712923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…0b39backed Netherlands10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc06e…aebabacked Netherlands35c480$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.62416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-64.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47a0…77f1backed Netherlands3c457.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecd…7e72backed USA78c456.36$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.42050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed USA69c450$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14123555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a0b…30aebacked Netherlands11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504628.3%13 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Netherlands24c439.58$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9027…b562backed USA45c437.39$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.398631.4%27 W · 59 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed USA66c433.73$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.696344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b5…8ccfbacked USA78c410.26$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.26560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc83c…f202backed Netherlands41c409.59$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked USA64c405.89$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.122045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ed…e463backed Netherlands3c405.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92a…3453backed Netherlands35c402.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.254030%12 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe929…299fbacked USA75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b94…19a7backed USA42c386.92$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.183748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b3…6b95backed Netherlands57c350.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a1…ed68backed USA79c340.85$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked USA42c313.59$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2910132.7%33 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…27f8backed Netherlands12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374537.8%17 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dfc…6191backed Netherlands13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…4747backed Netherlands25c299.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.992714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed USA41c293.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.549340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed USA64c293.87$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4566850.7%339 W · 329 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked USA75c291.84$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7823854.2%129 W · 109 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Netherlands55c274$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.531136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a18…ba41backed Netherlands34c271.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.157553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.