TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe929…299f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $110 May 11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Solana reach $110 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Solana reach $120 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Solana reach $100 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Solana reach $100 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Solana reach $140 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Solana reach $100 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Solana reach $110 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Solana dip to $90 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+1,900%+$190
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$25.61
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.96
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.08
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.46
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$57.12
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.87
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$43.33
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$22.6
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$108.8
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,288.37
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$160.05
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.05
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.89
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.17
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.34
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.17
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.17
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.93
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$103.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.