Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $90 January 26-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8163344226cdd663a42d6756193778d60894d62ef8a53d8c4b4dde92ef83786a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 7c | 34,696$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.48 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 3c | 15,730$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.42 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,976$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,760$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 9c | 8,039$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…6019backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 2c | 5,008$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…ce9bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,197$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 5c | 2,833$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,464$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…11e3backed Yes | 5c | 2,045$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 1,960$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…74d1backed Yes | 9c | 1,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 6c | 981.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…57a1backed Yes | 1c | 915.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 5cpaid | +614.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 656.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 6c | 530.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 6c | 488.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…a4e9backed Yes | 10c | 313.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 28c | 293$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 18c | 273.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a7…3becbacked Yes | 20c | 256.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…1972backed Yes | 7c | 223.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 140.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…5175backed Yes | 40c | 99.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd847…33cfbacked Yes | 20c | 58.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…2aa5backed Yes | 42c | 47.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $90 January 26-1?this page
- Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $50 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 January 26-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.