Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $130 January 26-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d12cca967f5332d56bb5a16485cdeb02d80b4901f67fe6d1d09f0df5d3928f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 4c | 29,249$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.62 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 10,474$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…a930backed No | 40c | 3,662$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…1782backed Yes | 0c | 3,260$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 1cpaid | +580.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,073$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…93ddbacked Yes | 7c | 923.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 399.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 70c | 382.48$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 345.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…fe9bbacked Yes | 17c | 307.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 32c | 165.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 98.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…0275backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…d798backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…8591backed No | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…e145backed No | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…7775backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…f5d1backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…23d4backed No | 54c | 39.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…e36cbacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 62c | 19.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $130 January 26-1?this page
- Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $50 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 January 26-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.