TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf4f0…8646

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$470
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.38
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.54
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.77
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.63
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$29.71
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$17.33
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.16
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.73
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mitch Marner score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$29.9
Will Pavel Dorofeyev score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Logan Stankoven score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.67
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.92
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.62
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+54.6%+$106
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.27
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$407.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+151.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.19
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.37
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+48.2%+$15.41
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+285.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+285.8%+$96.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$26.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on February 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$406.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $130 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.