Tennis · resolved market
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machac
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89520cca9feeb2edc8b6bbfb17c54418d637decb135ab5e8873d448cc80e07d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Geaof Gea, Machac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Gea | 41c | 105,256$43,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,214.96 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Machac | 67c | 100,000$67,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,999.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Gea | 34c | 28,000$9,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,479.96 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Machac | 70c | 23,026$16,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,080 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Machac | 66c | 20,636$13,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,617.89 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gea | 65c | 15,349$9,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b7…00a0backed Machac | 69c | 13,533$9,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,284.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Gea | 31c | 10,923$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,537.21 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Machac | 67c | 10,569$7,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080.92 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Gea | 39c | 10,216$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Gea | 29c | 10,175$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.58 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Machac | 60c | 10,023$5,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.23 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Gea | 33c | 8,263$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.21 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gea | 68c | 6,586$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.26 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Gea | 33c | 6,374$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.24 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Machac | 46c | 5,881$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Gea | 34c | 5,668$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gea | 58c | 5,661$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.49 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Machac | 57c | 5,536$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Machac | 68c | 5,522$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Machac | 66c | 5,409$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Gea | 33c | 5,364$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.84 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…cb76backed Gea | 33c | 5,117$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Gea | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Machac | 57c | 4,957$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.28 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Machac | 68c | 4,704$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.94 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Gea | 32c | 4,614$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.83 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Gea | 34c | 4,600$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Machac | 66c | 3,900$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.91 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Machac | 66c | 3,897$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.17 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Machac | 13c | 3,812$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.61 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gea | 42c | 3,553$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.77 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Gea | 44c | 3,500$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.95 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Gea | 32c | 3,472$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.88 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Machac | 69c | 3,324$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Machac | 69c | 3,237$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.32 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Machac | 49c | 3,031$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Machac | 66c | 3,031$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.18 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Machac | 67c | 3,024$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.08 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Gea | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Machac | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Machac | 14c | 2,940$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.91 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Gea | 76c | 2,846$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.24 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Gea | 31c | 2,781$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.32 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Gea | 33c | 2,675$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.49 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Machac | 9c | 2,536$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Gea | 56c | 2,523$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.95 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Gea | 33c | 2,494$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.9 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Machac | 43c | 2,446$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.35 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Machac | 31c | 2,327$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.31 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Machac | 69c | 2,298$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gea | 52c | 2,243$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Machac | 46c | 2,083$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.09 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Gea | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Machac | 60c | 1,999$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.34 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Gea | 72c | 1,877$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.84 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Machac | 68c | 1,810$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.38 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Machac | 66c | 1,744$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Gea | 34c | 1,719$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.98 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Machac | 9c | 1,686$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.88 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3075backed Machac | 67c | 1,645$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Machac | 71c | 1,595$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…11cbbacked Machac | 38c | 1,563$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Gea | 32c | 1,539$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed Gea | 34c | 1,537$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a9babacked Machac | 66c | 1,534$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Machac | 35c | 1,533$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.25 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Machac | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Gea | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Machac | 69c | 1,421$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Machac | 66c | 1,344$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.68 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Gea | 49c | 1,276$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.02 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Machac | 66c | 1,208$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.28 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Gea | 32c | 1,199$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.57 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Machac | 43c | 1,165$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3876…e53dbacked Gea | 70c | 1,152$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Machac | 10c | 1,091$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Gea | 33c | 1,085$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.07 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…b0b4backed Gea | 32c | 1,016$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Gea | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Gea | 32c | 938$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.84 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Gea | 65c | 925.33$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Machac | 30c | 899.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Machac | 37c | 888.97$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.49 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Machac | 67c | 884.56$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.66 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Gea | 34c | 816.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.8 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…e59cbacked Machac | 70c | 785.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Machac | 64c | 780$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Machac | 66c | 767.53$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.57 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Machac | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Gea | 36c | 744.44$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.44 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Machac | 68c | 731.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gea | 38c | 717.69$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Machac | 21c | 665.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Gea | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gea | 30c | 656.22$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.35 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Machac | 40c | 639.48$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Machac | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Machac | 44c | 620.58$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Gea | 58c | 601.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.49 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machacthis page
- Gea vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.