NBA · resolved market

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b56568af78dd036b03c641e0673729d72cd7d63578eb0119cd23eb1f94f1b56

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,698,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,077,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,698,094 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	4c	774,525$29,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,796.87	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	3c	771,064$25,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,532.56	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	406,807$6,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,804.45	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes	1c	388,993$2,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,267.73	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Yes	1c	341,680$3,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,045.97	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	1c	252,914$2,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052.02	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	5c	189,852$9,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,347.11	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd600…b66ebacked Yes	1c	147,496$2,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100.89	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+159.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes	1c	143,492$1,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,572	108	35.2%38 W · 70 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	124,664$2,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,913.71	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	1c	106,763$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.96	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes	8c	99,407$7,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,475.44	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	4c	83,502$3,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,236.85	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c85…31d4backed Yes	0c	73,173$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.69	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…cd8ebacked Yes	5c	70,697$3,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,689.13	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	5c	64,004$3,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,514.88	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	6c	51,317$3,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,007.24	53	5.7%3 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	1c	50,158$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Yes	0c	50,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00c0…ffaabacked Yes	3c	49,418$1,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.68	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+180.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fac…0c54backed Yes	6c	47,119$2,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,803.36	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	23cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	11c	42,682$4,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,579.69	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1360…2b50backed Yes	0c	41,647$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.92	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffa…8714backed Yes	2c	41,573$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	41,553$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.35	13	0%0 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Yes	1c	41,304$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.52	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa88d…9830backed Yes	1c	40,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	1c	40,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes	0c	37,747$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.24	95	40%38 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604a…d5f8backed Yes	0c	37,066$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	20cpaid	+324.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes	0c	36,949$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.85	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Yes	2c	36,168$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.7	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes	4c	35,628$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275.95	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf28…b40ebacked Yes	0c	35,575$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.46	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0015…d5b0backed Yes	0c	33,054$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	7c	32,761$2,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,273.09	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	0c	32,663$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.62	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-73%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes	2c	31,541$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.11	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Yes	3c	31,368$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.4	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes	2c	30,914$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cf…39e6backed Yes	1c	30,876$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.98	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+97.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	30,676$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.55	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes	7c	30,514$2,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	4c	30,347$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.83	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes	2c	30,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x531b…32b6backed Yes	2c	29,866$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.46	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	1c	28,966$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.8	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	28,837$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.3	30	10%3 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	5c	27,000$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.99	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes	2c	26,464$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.28	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes	1c	24,300$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.2	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes	2c	23,519$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.87	473	49%232 W · 241 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	22,989$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.51	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Yes	1c	22,720$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	22,234$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.08	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	2c	22,223$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.35	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes	0c	21,312$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.25	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ea…ae12backed Yes	7c	21,219$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.33	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	1c	21,000$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes	0c	20,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+85.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe381…3ba9backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-64%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412c…2d87backed Yes	0c	19,832$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.63	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	-26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	1c	19,686$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.12	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c5c…c842backed Yes	4c	19,043$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	19,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes	0c	18,888$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.66	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes	2c	17,899$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.25	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x558e…2ee7backed Yes	0c	17,734$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	30cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	5c	17,641$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.07	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	1c	16,209$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.29	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2375…2128backed Yes	1c	15,650$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	0c	15,280$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.97	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Yes	0c	15,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	100	46%46 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc574…b9dabacked Yes	1c	14,386$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.27	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes	2c	13,900$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.4	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes	0c	13,495$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.98	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	12cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd76…22febacked Yes	3c	12,826$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.08	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	3c	12,328$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.05	129	30.2%39 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	9c	12,289$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.33	197	8.6%17 W · 180 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe3…31d4backed Yes	2c	11,574$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.45	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+260.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes	2c	11,500$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a8…58b8backed Yes	0c	11,249$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.83	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c9…dd97backed Yes	2c	10,966$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc12a…dc73backed Yes	3c	10,930$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.12	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd73b…b6f3backed Yes	2c	10,469$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+293.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	5c	10,377$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.31	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe838…3832backed Yes	4c	10,300$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.6	122	41%50 W · 72 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0182…810abacked Yes	2c	10,201$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.6	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	+108%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.97	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba07…d785backed Yes	0c	9,944$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.26	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…5078backed Yes	2c	9,911$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.66	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+158.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes	7c	9,629$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.72	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes	3c	9,581$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.32	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e0…3a93backed Yes	1c	9,463$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	92	14.1%13 W · 79 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes	1c	9,373$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	2c	9,366$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.54	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes	2c	8,851$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.58	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Yes	2c	8,805$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.96	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes	7c	8,600$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.49	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event