TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,856,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,856,337 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c4,628,787$5,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.29258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes1c527,605$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,838.03214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c421,598$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.9946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes1c270,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77033743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c231,061$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.97150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c168,373$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.248827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c139,090$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.55535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes0c133,115$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.11812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes1c119,001$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.476132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a42…d013backed Yes0c104,200$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1a…3501backed Yes1c90,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes1c80,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002119%4 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c74,250$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.411978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes0c70,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes1c60,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb265…782cbacked Yes0c60,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c51,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102590%0 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec80…2cd7backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd3…d237backed Yes0c46,372$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…a318backed Yes0c46,372$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc796…e1c5backed Yes0c46,254$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835c…2026backed Yes0c46,169$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61a…6179backed Yes0c45,709$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe119…81b1backed Yes0c45,330$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78b…58eabacked Yes0c45,255$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c42,784$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.83417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3022…59c1backed Yes1c37,641$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1917…88bbbacked Yes1c36,667$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2743…e1e2backed Yes0c35,632$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a72…e1aabacked Yes0c35,048$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ee…9ababacked Yes1c35,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2422…0de0backed Yes0c32,789$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f5…6ba3backed Yes0c32,555$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c7…8ca5backed Yes0c31,827$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes1c31,000$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1865125.5%13 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24aa…3d46backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c30,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes1c30,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes1c30,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-48.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes1c29,000$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes1c26,000$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b9…1951backed Yes1c25,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-83.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Yes1c25,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c24,726$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb658…2ce5backed Yes0c23,571$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d3…891ebacked Yes0c22,246$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c22,174$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes0c20,086$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes1c20,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c20,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…02a5backed Yes0c20,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e9…f0f9backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c20,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c20,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c20,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes0c19,826$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f81…3a83backed Yes0c19,375$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes0c18,062$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c2…b244backed Yes0c18,002$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada2…dfb9backed Yes1c18,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc1…12eebacked Yes0c17,680$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf72…2f09backed Yes0c17,631$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x506a…8290backed Yes0c17,586$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9153…fec4backed Yes0c17,399$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…d56dbacked Yes0c17,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c17,191$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8186…8feabacked Yes0c17,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…6a4ebacked Yes1c17,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fa…7af0backed Yes0c16,980$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9880%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c16,575$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce01…0308backed Yes1c16,500$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce0…ec61backed Yes1c16,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f29…a764backed Yes1c16,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes0c15,926$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f5…5f3cbacked Yes1c15,790$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2316…2055backed Yes1c15,500$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c15,368$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c15,237$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7416…5df7backed Yes1c15,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes1c15,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12090%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes1c14,994$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9693041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c14,635$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5903…f503backed Yes1c14,500$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932a…4843backed Yes1c13,800$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e0…252ebacked Yes1c13,250$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d2…034bbacked Yes0c13,172$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd936…9af9backed Yes0c13,169$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes0c12,783$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b17…7990backed Yes0c12,452$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c12,404$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c12,134$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16a…1e3cbacked Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c11,432$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f79…d2a2backed Yes1c10,800$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6d…5144backed Yes0c10,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2dd…f2f5backed Yes0c10,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.