TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,535,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,003,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,535,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes0c1,183,554$4,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,682.6182440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes1c970,187$5,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,450.57214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c658,883$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.77258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c622,125$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.5446426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c499,860$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c446,525$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.4339435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes0c430,797$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.4887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes1c366,167$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.851315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…5593backed Yes0c365,393$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes1c324,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d6…7dc2backed Yes1c297,798$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f9…f0bbbacked Yes1c286,389$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263b…b5f2backed Yes1c273,826$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…9538backed Yes1c266,918$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c23…031fbacked Yes1c266,462$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e86…6b7bbacked Yes1c260,310$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…3d84backed Yes1c246,931$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x749e…87a9backed Yes1c244,616$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf9…b1b3backed Yes1c238,675$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b4…59f3backed Yes1c230,344$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c222,319$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.6240133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50df…23d9backed Yes1c213,124$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes1c210,811$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.684035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Yes0c206,000$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes1c200,000$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.2995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbadb…0032backed Yes1c199,033$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c193,851$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.461978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb83…828ebacked Yes1c177,014$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc18…bde0backed Yes1c175,648$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes1c173,176$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.0239842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x184c…a685backed Yes1c169,896$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fed…f35dbacked Yes1c169,726$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297e…eb24backed Yes1c164,797$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a9…7175backed Yes1c162,419$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c158,173$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.68150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0881…7c2abacked Yes1c155,375$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Yes1c151,042$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.9214245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3708…bec1backed Yes1c145,670$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c144,527$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.67130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bff…7291backed Yes1c133,201$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.1740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes1c121,907$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.413718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d8…2643backed Yes1c121,419$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.5240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…bdffbacked Yes0c120,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acd…56edbacked Yes1c119,735$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Yes1c118,641$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.23036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes1c116,959$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.7610530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee2b…bc24backed Yes1c116,620$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.4840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c114,619$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.02535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes1c108,442$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.422010%2 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-25.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c107,576$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.468827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x812e…b3e8backed Yes1c107,044$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes1c106,179$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.322737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15f…e7e0backed Yes1c103,589$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes0c103,034$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c102,083$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.28417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes1c100,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70033743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfcf…6dc5backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa26…c232backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Yes1c93,039$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.23043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x469c…309bbacked Yes1c92,982$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.9110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes0c92,709$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73e…eb34backed Yes1c88,658$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…4ceebacked Yes1c87,731$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c86,366$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c86,141$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7788…1501backed Yes1c86,054$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3006…6f28backed Yes0c85,042$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.17616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-75.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f64…d79ebacked Yes1c81,071$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes1c80,867$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.078150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Yes1c80,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd962…8e0fbacked Yes1c79,049$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ca…ed14backed Yes1c78,227$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.3150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes0c77,559$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8880%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3b…5eafbacked Yes1c75,086$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes1c75,000$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37518031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4284…9f44backed Yes1c74,531$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.4240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dab…384dbacked Yes0c73,292$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a4…7c4dbacked Yes1c73,194$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c72,573$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe424…59c8backed Yes1c71,242$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64b…d37cbacked Yes1c70,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes1c69,948$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.981711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-77.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bb…e491backed Yes1c69,429$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.5840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c68,909$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes1c68,481$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.5540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes0c68,349$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68aa…794ebacked Yes0c68,074$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653d…5e2abacked Yes1c67,585$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.7140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…3185backed Yes1c67,431$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c66,778$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1095…b109backed Yes1c66,358$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9728…0314backed Yes1c65,863$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.385050%25 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcde…4e4cbacked Yes0c65,276$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c64,624$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb764…09bdbacked Yes1c64,026$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2468…cd51backed Yes0c63,249$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c62,776$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c62,742$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c62,141$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.85100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c62,083$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.