NBA · resolved market

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b44bd667fad6cb5b3b68d8bd1055a038c77d9176dbd51f123879797cc3368a7

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,033,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,263,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,033,724 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	3c	774,146$22,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,928.69	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes	3c	500,000$16,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,821.47	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	4c	396,600$14,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,587.86	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	2c	379,478$7,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,126.54	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc001…59a3backed Yes	4c	260,544$11,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,534.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	4c	251,044$11,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,259.61	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Yes	4c	239,276$10,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,217.9	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes	6c	239,040$14,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,264.53	147	27.9%41 W · 106 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Yes	3c	202,171$6,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,768	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	3c	201,978$6,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,084.47	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd600…b66ebacked Yes	4c	186,258$7,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,357.93	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+159.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	3c	181,745$5,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,689.66	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Yes	4c	175,621$7,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,441.23	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	171,969$4,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,180.26	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	3c	167,450$5,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,667.04	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes	5c	155,627$7,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,205.73	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes	3c	126,855$3,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,380.3	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	4c	123,236$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400.27	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	11c	121,034$13,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,187.7	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes	4c	120,686$4,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,679.21	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes	3c	120,376$3,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,166.62	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	4c	120,035$4,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,921.42	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes	1c	109,479$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.66	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	0c	106,900$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.8	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes	3c	106,273$3,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,613.23	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	5c	105,150$5,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,206.48	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x381d…fedebacked Yes	2c	92,299$2,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,292.96	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes	4c	90,896$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,350.1	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes	2c	85,000$2,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,112.6	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…d873backed Yes	4c	78,513$2,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,757.72	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+215.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c7…6f6abacked Yes	2c	73,377$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd859…c7c2backed Yes	1c	73,346$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.96	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…417cbacked Yes	5c	72,816$3,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,295.52	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	4c	72,060$2,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,890	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes	4c	70,000$2,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,868.29	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	4c	69,607$3,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,083.67	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	4c	66,636$2,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,648.19	30	10%3 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	4c	66,484$2,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,782.19	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Yes	4c	62,334$2,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,643.36	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3c…1734backed Yes	8c	62,249$4,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,939.17	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	5c	61,679$2,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,858.61	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	7c	61,410$4,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,384.67	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes	4c	60,143$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes	5c	60,060$3,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,213.02	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes	4c	59,346$2,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,551.88	105	30.5%32 W · 73 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	3c	59,079$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes	4c	58,777$2,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,596.52	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff5b…e067backed Yes	5c	56,005$2,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,709.82	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd551…ef4cbacked Yes	3c	55,963$1,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+700.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f31…1757backed Yes	4c	55,191$2,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,478.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	54,396$3,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,126.27	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes	5c	51,869$2,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,429.45	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes	5c	51,681$2,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,584.04	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes	2c	50,801$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.21	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda8b…f67fbacked Yes	7c	50,315$3,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,572.39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	3c	49,323$1,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,658.59	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	5c	48,221$2,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,335.3	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…7be4backed Yes	0c	47,250$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	13cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x675a…aacabacked Yes	2c	47,136$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	5c	45,170$2,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,335.62	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1360…2b50backed Yes	2c	45,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes	5c	44,570$2,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.6	95	40%38 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	4c	38,875$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,531.97	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Yes	5c	38,060$1,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,884.42	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ad…655ebacked Yes	1c	37,422$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.97	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	33cpaid	-75%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	5c	35,960$1,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,668.26	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes	4c	35,686$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,277.46	156	48.1%75 W · 81 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes	7c	34,368$2,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,272.74	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Yes	2c	34,286$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72c2…7390backed Yes	6c	34,100$1,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.79	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf9…c81bbacked Yes	3c	33,760$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	154	42.2%65 W · 89 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes	2c	33,333$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.66	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+10.0wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes	7c	32,018$2,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,210.09	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…fb26backed Yes	8c	30,638$2,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,332.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc574…b9dabacked Yes	3c	30,217$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.27	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Yes	6c	30,160$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.76	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes	7c	30,000$1,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,953.89	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes	5c	29,085$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,523.91	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+138.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…c549backed Yes	2c	29,015$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes	4c	28,638$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.94	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes	5c	27,739$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,278.91	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes	2c	26,237$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	6c	25,430$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.34	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa88d…9830backed Yes	0c	25,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	4c	24,000$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.99	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6037…7e95backed Yes	5c	23,774$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes	4c	23,422$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes	1c	23,383$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.56	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	5c	23,329$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.94	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8567…d40ebacked Yes	4c	23,256$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+211.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ea…2695backed Yes	4c	22,493$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Yes	4c	22,397$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.99	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	5c	22,179$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.66	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	3cpaid	+267.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	3c	21,686$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	265	30.9%82 W · 183 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	6c	21,430$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.32	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	6c	21,214$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261.36	98	4.1%4 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	5c	21,000$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.97	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes	5c	20,978$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.66	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Yes	6c	20,778$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.7	147	46.9%69 W · 78 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes	5c	20,362$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event