TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,876,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,876,195 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c5,854,701$6,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,412.57258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c2,043,727$9,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,244.12214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c259,931$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.37535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c199,000$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c187,773$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.1946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Yes1c168,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403850%19 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes1c113,580$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.064035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes1c100,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70033743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c7f…f11bbacked Yes0c91,667$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa967…a002backed Yes1c85,904$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.3340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ff…a8b7backed Yes0c80,933$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c79,552$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.318827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes1c60,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602119%4 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Yes1c55,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c50,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes0c49,481$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.48110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ac…a9a7backed Yes0c46,351$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d56…205bbacked Yes0c46,327$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c8…6184backed Yes0c46,155$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707a…7ddcbacked Yes0c46,153$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dff…4955backed Yes0c45,780$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes0c40,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5f…ce1cbacked Yes1c40,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb2…269ebacked Yes0c39,978$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5681…cabbbacked Yes0c39,632$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ee…5cc8backed Yes0c37,677$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes1c36,628$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.46132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c33,915$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3182440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29af…2473backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c30,730$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.73140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39b…c341backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c30,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d07…d953backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c47…ada1backed Yes0c29,821$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes0c28,359$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes1c27,947$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.63633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92ea…4a1bbacked Yes1c27,648$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb466…6dc1backed Yes0c27,325$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0361…2d31backed Yes1c25,875$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Yes1c25,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c25,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec80…2cd7backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7043…1425backed Yes1c25,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b3…d57dbacked Yes0c23,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c22,547$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…3c67backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f066backed Yes0c21,331$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff27…d8f6backed Yes0c21,111$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21af…7186backed Yes1c20,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b4…ec9cbacked Yes1c19,999$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8896…930fbacked Yes0c19,776$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1197…09d3backed Yes0c18,022$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9971…6890backed Yes0c17,737$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…c432backed Yes0c17,709$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8f…13a5backed Yes1c16,800$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Yes1c16,038$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.261540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16de…93f1backed Yes1c15,400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed43…51b0backed Yes0c15,122$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7d…14c5backed Yes1c15,100$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c15,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes1c14,785$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7193041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd217…3487backed Yes0c14,722$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca0d…a358backed Yes1c14,600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e8…39bebacked Yes1c14,500$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdb…f3e6backed Yes1c14,500$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaae…fa80backed Yes0c14,460$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d4d…5770backed Yes1c13,700$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc64…eb96backed Yes0c13,411$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c1…2f66backed Yes0c13,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d7…4ac5backed Yes1c12,960$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73fa…cba2backed Yes0c11,616$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe160…3205backed Yes1c11,429$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d57…1258backed Yes1c11,200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c11,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33590%0 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859f…c5c2backed Yes1c10,314$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1923…a916backed Yes1c10,125$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c10,038$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…3681backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036b…6881backed Yes1c10,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…7773backed Yes1c10,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes0c9,912$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa0…e1c1backed Yes0c9,855$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebb…14c7backed Yes0c9,821$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bad…2d8bbacked Yes1c9,561$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c9,307$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.14417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8186…8feabacked Yes0c9,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad5f…487bbacked Yes1c8,849$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a64…6ccebacked Yes0c8,762$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec38…4c89backed Yes0c8,333$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.