NBA · resolved market
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a18c03e9dd79943a25c65a5b696378e54b5b7d236140edb5d157685ce96476a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,720,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,779,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,720,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 958,717$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.13 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 0c | 610,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 455,441$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.35 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 0c | 432,331$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 0c | 353,899$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.29 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 316,560$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.56 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.88 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 174,524$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.75 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…c146backed Yes | 1c | 147,818$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 2c | 134,246$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.1 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 120,329$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.66 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 111,006$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…d278backed Yes | 0c | 91,287$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…504cbacked Yes | 0c | 91,287$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 0c | 71,800$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 0c | 68,937$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…8d7cbacked Yes | 0c | 68,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Yes | 0c | 57,528$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.58 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 53,543$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,215$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 51,800$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…2cd7backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 49,708$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 48,711$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 46,576$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes | 2c | 45,574$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.95 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 39,434$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 38,990$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 36,450$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.24 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 36,350$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.02 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 1c | 36,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 32,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 1c | 31,928$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…afc9backed Yes | 0c | 31,600$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 30,320$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 0c | 27,900$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,835$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29af…2473backed Yes | 0c | 25,250$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…bbaabacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Yes | 2c | 25,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 1c | 24,056$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 1c | 21,033$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Yes | 0c | 20,251$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…24b2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,800$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 19,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 0c | 18,774$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…6b37backed Yes | 0c | 17,908$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…d953backed Yes | 0c | 17,750$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…587bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,271$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…2a5dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…d717backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…99d3backed Yes | 1c | 13,153$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,990$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 1c | 12,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 12,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 1c | 11,331$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3417…54e2backed Yes | 0c | 11,240$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60de…6453backed Yes | 1c | 11,189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 37cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,067$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…74f3backed Yes | 0c | 10,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ae…e398backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…63b4backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…4488backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…13f0backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…d0ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,070$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…1f71backed Yes | 0c | 10,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…2df0backed Yes | 0c | 10,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…9a22backed Yes | 0c | 10,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…0b9cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…0bcfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…471bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…5c79backed Yes | 0c | 10,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…bdebbacked Yes | 2c | 10,007$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…7186backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…e1a0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d48…e51ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 1c | 9,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 1c | 9,756$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79c…1ccfbacked Yes | 0c | 9,518$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09eb…3f00backed Yes | 0c | 9,405$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe11…990bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,998$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…f0b4backed Yes | 0c | 8,963$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…2541backed Yes | 2c | 8,960$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…3de9backed Yes | 3c | 8,951$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…5c51backed Yes | 0c | 8,855$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,806$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,780$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…d681backed Yes | 0c | 8,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…ee59backed Yes | 0c | 8,331$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…a05bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c5…7cfebacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26b…0739backed Yes | 0c | 7,859$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 1c | 7,776$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.