TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,444,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,444,567 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c5,544,236$6,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,075.77258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes1c1,124,652$6,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,585.76214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c425,057$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.348827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x315f…5593backed Yes0c365,393$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c361,977$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.746426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c337,372$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.761978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c307,072$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.58150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes1c302,449$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Yes1c179,000$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8953043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c131,522$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.83535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…366bbacked Yes1c124,433$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.032646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3da…c7b3backed Yes0c92,566$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6165…3082backed Yes0c92,564$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes0c87,376$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.18812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec1a…3501backed Yes0c83,415$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8b…8ac2backed Yes0c78,001$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes0c70,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3022…59c1backed Yes1c62,315$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f62…7d8fbacked Yes0c61,712$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b80…95d2backed Yes0c58,582$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f81…3a83backed Yes0c51,753$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec80…2cd7backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes1c50,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32090%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes0c49,815$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6314742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d89…324dbacked Yes0c46,338$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e7…1f6ebacked Yes0c46,271$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3f…5d4cbacked Yes0c45,433$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb8…4f42backed Yes0c45,015$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ff…a8b7backed Yes0c44,914$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5320…edd9backed Yes0c44,898$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…7e9abacked Yes0c42,889$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb77…13a0backed Yes0c42,221$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa967…a002backed Yes1c41,451$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes1c40,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8893…bc82backed Yes0c35,111$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.22425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+316.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes0c34,901$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.74035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe4…bafcbacked Yes1c34,800$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x414f…44aabacked Yes0c33,121$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819d…d7ffbacked Yes0c32,122$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c31,680$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f144backed Yes0c30,525$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes1c29,852$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.971540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Yes1c29,062$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.371540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fbe…a1d6backed Yes0c28,055$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes1c28,000$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1685125.5%13 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes1c27,674$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.726132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ecf…04bbbacked Yes0c27,183$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes1c26,127$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.632119%4 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Yes1c25,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c25,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7043…1425backed Yes1c25,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8154…c9abbacked Yes0c24,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c24,531$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6613929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes1c24,371$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.851533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes0c24,000$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e95…a3fbbacked Yes0c23,411$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5438…b8c4backed Yes0c23,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c22,964$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b4…ec9cbacked Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c20,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e9…f0f9backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c20,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Yes1c19,934$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.545536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7dc8…6ebebacked Yes0c18,091$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes0c18,062$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001f…567bbacked Yes0c17,734$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…c725backed Yes0c17,651$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x914a…000bbacked Yes0c17,490$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c17,255$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.81417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25fa…7af0backed Yes0c16,980$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9880%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e1…62a0backed Yes0c16,835$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106c…a366backed Yes0c16,822$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c16,744$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd52…b686backed Yes1c16,500$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c0…2554backed Yes1c16,500$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes0c15,926$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc280…12a8backed Yes0c15,242$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64af…e281backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c14,472$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8382440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe594…e61dbacked Yes1c14,000$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c1…2f66backed Yes0c14,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes1c13,786$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7193041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c7…4238backed Yes1c13,619$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1115…83f5backed Yes0c13,123$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c12,547$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c12,404$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c12,134$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036b…6881backed Yes1c12,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes0c11,733$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes0c11,132$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3572…fadebacked Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c11,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33590%0 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be2…f23dbacked Yes0c10,232$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.