NBA · resolved market
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30a8ed0d01b7e8b25334358f71d9ec71c147783c0f908c2e7c7a527905007bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,557,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,557,766 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 5,839,452$6,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570.12 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,281,669$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 388,187$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.61 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Yes | 1c | 249,472$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 244,890$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.38 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 201,087$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.75 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 162,122$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.98 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 156,031$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.18 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 129,643$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7f…f11bbacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…6dc5backed Yes | 0c | 95,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 0c | 92,568$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af6…60e7backed Yes | 0c | 89,439$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 1c | 84,245$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…d37cbacked Yes | 1c | 70,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a42…d013backed Yes | 0c | 63,500$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 0c | 61,302$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…782cbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…6f28backed Yes | 0c | 54,936$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…a815backed Yes | 0c | 51,586$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…1d99backed Yes | 0c | 50,020$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…2cd7backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes | 1c | 48,102$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.72 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c5fcbacked Yes | 0c | 46,482$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a6…3f55backed Yes | 0c | 45,221$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c7…7a4bbacked Yes | 0c | 45,211$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…4311backed Yes | 0c | 45,148$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f73…89febacked Yes | 0c | 44,824$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…d87abacked Yes | 0c | 44,525$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…0c68backed Yes | 0c | 44,372$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…de35backed Yes | 0c | 44,324$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…52aabacked Yes | 0c | 44,159$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…d618backed Yes | 0c | 44,056$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…3f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 43,888$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 42,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 0c | 41,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…d8aabacked Yes | 0c | 39,725$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…c232backed Yes | 0c | 37,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…f4ebbacked Yes | 0c | 32,122$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…3501backed Yes | 0c | 30,177$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…6112backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96b2…f24ebacked Yes | 0c | 29,741$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Yes | 1c | 29,143$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 25,750$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…9ababacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b17…7990backed Yes | 0c | 24,904$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab91…2fd5backed Yes | 0c | 23,059$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1339…fab9backed Yes | 0c | 23,018$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…4852backed Yes | 0c | 22,264$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,433$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…034bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…02a5backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,476$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…c3a2backed Yes | 0c | 18,176$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…ec9cbacked Yes | 1c | 18,139$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 1c | 18,075$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…a66ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,331$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 0c | 17,312$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…7af0backed Yes | 0c | 16,980$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…3185backed Yes | 0c | 16,228$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…9af9backed Yes | 0c | 16,220$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,926$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee7…930bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…5cc8backed Yes | 0c | 15,023$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1e7fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…8feabacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…d7ffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…08b6backed Yes | 0c | 14,677$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…10d6backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…31e8backed Yes | 1c | 13,500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…83f5backed Yes | 0c | 13,123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 0c | 13,028$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…f0b4backed Yes | 0c | 12,568$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…b21bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,547$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes | 0c | 12,311$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,134$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…b308backed Yes | 0c | 12,128$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,733$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…28aebacked Yes | 1c | 11,286$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d3…891ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,123$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…6abbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…3cffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…92debacked Yes | 0c | 10,124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…2c25backed Yes | 0c | 10,061$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…5800backed Yes | 0c | 10,043$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d1…7438backed Yes | 0c | 10,023$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…56febacked Yes | 0c | 10,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…ed07backed Yes | 0c | 10,002$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…b857backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.