NBA · resolved market
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6331a779482df72d904c3c1e12b6409ff836bc06f8c97945cba9b25ada2c605c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,832,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,244,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,832,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 3,711,492$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.96 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 1,113,770$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 0c | 1,093,064$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 0c | 773,106$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.28 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 647,164$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.01 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 583,868$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.14 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 0c | 502,595$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.19 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 0c | 499,998$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 415,872$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.74 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Yes | 0c | 358,300$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.6 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 0c | 340,019$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.55 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 334,164$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.65 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 0c | 210,155$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 199,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 197,918$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.75 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 197,257$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 0c | 182,029$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…23bebacked Yes | 0c | 166,025$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes | 0c | 152,917$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 0c | 136,554$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 0c | 133,333$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…1093backed Yes | 0c | 133,298$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 125,327$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.03 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 105,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 104,088$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…d5b0backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 90,586$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.85 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 79,762$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…afc9backed Yes | 0c | 78,549$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 74,007$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Yes | 0c | 71,924$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 65,700$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.45 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…ba53backed Yes | 0c | 64,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…3a93backed Yes | 0c | 57,878$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…824abacked Yes | 0c | 56,980$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 0c | 56,538$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…8d7cbacked Yes | 0c | 56,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 1c | 53,769$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.15 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 53,140$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 52,700$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…b9dabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Yes | 1c | 47,500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.07 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 1c | 45,936$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 1c | 42,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 1c | 42,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 41,902$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 40,242$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +324.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Yes | 1c | 39,957$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 39,950$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.38 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 38,754$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…07a0backed Yes | 0c | 37,701$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 37,465$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…575dbacked Yes | 0c | 37,041$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 0c | 34,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 33,499$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 0c | 31,836$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 31,555$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 1c | 31,297$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 1c | 29,800$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 29,200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…f6a2backed Yes | 0c | 29,175$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 29,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…7f37backed Yes | 1c | 28,600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…301dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…e040backed Yes | 0c | 26,625$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…ac5ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35f…f7f8backed Yes | 1c | 25,031$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…d080backed Yes | 1c | 23,280$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…6290backed Yes | 0c | 23,275$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…4d66backed Yes | 1c | 23,100$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…0c9ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,637$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 0c | 22,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 1c | 21,482$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…ac90backed Yes | 0c | 21,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 20,676$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…7333backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…7186backed Yes | 1c | 19,999$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 1c | 18,522$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…9088backed Yes | 1c | 18,056$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e23…f0a5backed Yes | 0c | 17,886$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 17,858$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b66…30adbacked Yes | 0c | 17,448$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.