TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fb9…6290

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT13846.4%64 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$9.07
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.06
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.97
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.79
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.93
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.08
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.64
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.57
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.59
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$13
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$11
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$21.21
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$8.95
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Red Sox vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Mets vs. Padresbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.76
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+177.8%+$24.89
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.17
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.88
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+132.6%+$17.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$66.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.