MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x724a544b8d7cb5095ed930441cb3b7c301527c66609bbb267d7a06610759e890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Mets, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Mets | 49c | 70,042$34,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,320.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets | 8c | 39,669$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.57 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 51c | 30,907$15,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,166.7 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Padres | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Padres | 55c | 20,633$11,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,241.32 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mets | 49c | 18,752$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,188.69 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 51c | 13,126$6,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,431.51 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 46c | 10,200$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.99 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Mets | 25c | 9,433$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.34 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 18c | 8,646$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.09 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 68c | 8,125$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.13 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 51c | 7,809$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.74 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mets | 47c | 6,615$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.75 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 51c | 5,244$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.39 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mets | 1c | 4,576$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mets | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 51c | 3,237$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.25 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Padres | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Mets | 35c | 2,920$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 6c | 2,609$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Padres | 49c | 2,589$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.17 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mets | 50c | 2,500$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Mets | 49c | 2,263$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.25 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Mets | 49c | 1,990$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 1c | 1,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Padres | 52c | 1,834$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.32 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 50c | 1,813$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.59 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Padres | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 40c | 1,468$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Padres | 52c | 1,328$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.43 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 52c | 1,221$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 25c | 1,133$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mets | 44c | 1,038$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mets | 7c | 1,020$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Padres | 51c | 914$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.86 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 50c | 666.66$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Padres | 59c | 662$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.88 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Mets | 21c | 613.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 51c | 586.14$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.95 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Mets | 24c | 585.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 51c | 546.75$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 15c | 521.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mets | 51c | 499.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Padres | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Padres | 52c | 469.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…1f26backed Mets | 9c | 465.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Mets | 7c | 367.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 25c | 351.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…eb14backed Padres | 51c | 338.78$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mets | 51c | 323.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Padres | 60c | 313$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Padres | 73c | 263$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Mets | 46c | 226.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets | 48c | 214.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Padres | 52c | 205$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Mets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mets | 17c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Padres | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 41c | 185.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Mets | 50c | 181.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Padres | 49c | 179.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Padres | 60c | 163$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Padres | 60c | 163$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Mets | 7c | 162.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 62c | 156.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Padres | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Padres | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Padres | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Padres | 60c | 145.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Padres | 60c | 144.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Mets | 28c | 133.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Mets | 50c | 132$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 49c | 131.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mets | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Mets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Mets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Mets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Mets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Padres | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Mets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Padres | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Mets | 48c | 84.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Padres | 71c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mets | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.