TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5dd…1f26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+176.2%+$102.22
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.65
Diamondbacks vs. Rangersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$64.8
Mets vs. Padresbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.04
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.27
Nationals vs. Twinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.3
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+312.8%+$90.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esportsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$111.43
League of Legends: DRX Challengers vs. T1 Academybacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Team WEbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$21.09
League of Legends: T1 vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$63
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. KT Rolsterbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$84
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+154.5%+$47.09
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. BNK FEARXbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.3
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.95
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.9
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$108.68
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+77%+$808.3
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+75.9%+$809.87
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$427.84
Humanitarian airdrops over Gaza by August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$18.95
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.7
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$57.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$115.44
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Predators vs. Wildbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$91.94
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$28.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mystics vs. Sparksbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.