MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2b1992ae98de587f3e758ecfb7cb9202d35448f01b2efa2f2c1b7049541085f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cardinals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $945,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,010,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $945,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Cardinals | 34c | 630,280$215,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215,595.77 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cubs | 66c | 112,058$73,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,099.82 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 66c | 99,399$65,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,795.7 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 65c | 55,566$36,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,292.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 66c | 55,000$36,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,700 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cubs | 65c | 37,095$24,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,913.12 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cubs | 66c | 33,712$22,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,523.41 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Cubs | 66c | 33,083$21,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,248.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Cubs | 65c | 28,772$18,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,970.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Cubs | 66c | 23,801$15,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,092.22 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 9c | 22,670$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cubs | 67c | 22,500$14,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,512.48 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 66c | 18,566$12,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,312.56 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 73c | 18,098$13,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 66c | 16,626$10,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,652.72 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Cardinals | 6c | 15,130$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.85 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Cubs | 66c | 12,828$8,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.61 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Cubs | 69c | 12,085$8,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.29 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cardinals | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…398dbacked Cubs | 65c | 9,999$6,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…db5cbacked Cardinals | 35c | 9,999$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 65c | 9,400$6,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 14c | 9,199$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.47 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 66c | 9,091$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.91 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cubs | 74c | 8,101$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.94 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Cardinals | 25c | 7,961$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.25 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 65c | 7,500$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 70c | 7,089$4,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.69 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 78c | 7,041$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 0c | 6,933$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Cubs | 68c | 6,600$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cubs | 66c | 6,366$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.35 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 66c | 6,336$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 66c | 6,336$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.22 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 66c | 6,185$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.26 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Cardinals | 0c | 5,286$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 66c | 4,735$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.89 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 34c | 4,200$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 1c | 3,962$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Cubs | 66c | 3,934$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 24c | 3,534$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Cubs | 66c | 3,379$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.93 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 66c | 2,950$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Cubs | 66c | 2,924$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.24 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Cardinals | 24c | 2,826$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.78 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Cubs | 79c | 2,577$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.43 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 34c | 2,400$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 66c | 2,200$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 65c | 2,010$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.5 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cubs | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,988$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.93 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Cubs | 68c | 1,961$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Cardinals | 6c | 1,926$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked Cardinals | 26c | 1,821$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.2 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,615$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.45 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Cardinals | 5c | 1,340$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7badbacked Cardinals | 1c | 1,313$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Cubs | 66c | 1,295$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.18 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…8742backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,292$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 30c | 1,057$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Cardinals | 32c | 1,033$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Cubs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Cardinals | 2c | 990.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 35c | 899.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 16c | 853.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 65c | 707.21$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Cardinals | 11c | 668.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Cubs | 64c | 654.11$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 78c | 611$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Cubs | 74c | 538.68$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Cardinals | 34c | 518.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Cardinals | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…1f5bbacked Cardinals | 19c | 492.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Cardinals | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 33c | 397$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 32c | 394.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cardinals | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Cardinals | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Cardinals | 16c | 316.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 66c | 303.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Cardinals | 33c | 301.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Cardinals | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cubs | 67c | 299.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 33c | 298.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Cubs | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals | 10c | 283$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 65c | 276$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 66c | 274$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked Cubs | 66c | 251.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Cubs | 66c | 248.04$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.