TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Athletics, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c12…1937backed Athletics5c50,055$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers60c40,876$24,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,198.2718837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Athletics43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9853150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Rangers57c19,510$11,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,389.312650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Rangers64c18,651$11,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,790.4613352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics32c13,535$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,395.032,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Athletics42c10,760$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519.176642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics42c10,659$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519.011,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Athletics34c8,013$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.449749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics43c5,500$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3651,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Athletics38c4,011$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.0197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers66c3,720$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.5786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers56c3,652$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.642,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Athletics44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Athletics42c2,995$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.7815642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f51…097ebacked Athletics44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0121250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Rangers60c2,172$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.676749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers58c2,077$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.232852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics36c2,001$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.2743946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Rangers56c1,930$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3382…dcfbbacked Athletics44c1,930$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Rangers56c1,300$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Athletics44c1,139$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Athletics44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics44c1,131$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.6426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9528042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5103…88b9backed Rangers56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers56c1,027$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.095,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Rangers79c1,004$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5814966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Athletics44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Rangers56c957.14$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.141,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Athletics44c920$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics30c847.91$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.411,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Athletics31c837.43$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9921246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65df…8397backed Athletics44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rangers58c750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31561346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics44c703.84$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6916654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Athletics44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3087548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab0…7720backed Rangers56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics27c677.74$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9941643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers63c603.09$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.141,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Athletics41c582.03$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23811331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Athletics42c552$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics22c546.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Athletics43c507.3$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Rangers56c444.96$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.787847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics33c415.93$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.34,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4b…931bbacked Rangers57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers56c395.63$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.089,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics42c380$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Rangers62c365$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13915151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics44c345$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rangers57c345$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3539041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rangers60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3347348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics42c317$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Athletics44c308.71$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8324253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1292,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fdd…0661backed Rangers58c245$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.91070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe87…8b1dbacked Athletics43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Athletics43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Athletics43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics43c230.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics44c228.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Athletics44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Athletics45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics43c219.8$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.951,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf716…c440backed Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c2…0705backed Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8a…1a07backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5070…0039backed Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…bd2ebacked Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883271.9%23 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4f…2737backed Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…18cfbacked Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc909…6393backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa51b…8938backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bf5…ee08backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7811…36d3backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a54…7d39backed Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafbd…67aebacked Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…bd65backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…88d1backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d59…569ebacked Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…8149backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3601…43dfbacked Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…d335backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883450%17 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…8dcebacked Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883450%17 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72d…aa23backed Athletics44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12de…d4b5backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…aa96backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53b5…7e4fbacked Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x600b…45eabacked Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…eea8backed Rangers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.