NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9160bb6e4c868fe4f75531126aa444fa50eb324215678ec9e0c3c27c08ecf458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Oilers, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Oilers | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,999.99 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 52c | 81,564$42,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,150.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 37c | 48,654$17,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,694.25 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Stars | 53c | 26,409$13,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,412.27 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 47c | 22,674$10,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,586.87 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Oilers | 47c | 16,285$7,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,654.05 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Oilers | 47c | 15,022$7,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.55 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,639.99 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Oilers | 75c | 11,754$8,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,798.1 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Oilers | 46c | 10,368$4,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.49 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oilers | 69c | 10,242$7,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,104.5 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…28abbacked Oilers | 0c | 10,070$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Stars | 53c | 9,673$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,546.31 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 47c | 8,995$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.63 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Stars | 53c | 8,921$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 54c | 8,821$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.58 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Stars | 53c | 7,834$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 76c | 7,290$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.18 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 52c | 7,100$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Oilers | 45c | 5,010$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Stars | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers | 47c | 4,712$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.55 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 70c | 4,602$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.06 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Stars | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 62c | 3,925$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.88 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oilers | 47c | 3,499$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.61 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Stars | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Stars | 56c | 3,000$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.8 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 54c | 2,792$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.73 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stars | 42c | 2,730$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.51 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 71c | 2,617$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.53 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Stars | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Stars | 54c | 2,472$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.92 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Stars | 53c | 2,375$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.47 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Stars | 52c | 2,343$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.63 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Stars | 52c | 2,080$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.4 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Oilers | 68c | 2,026$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.98 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Stars | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Stars | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Oilers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked Stars | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…a08abacked Stars | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…e1e5backed Oilers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…0fb2backed Oilers | 70c | 1,947$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 52c | 1,871$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.32 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Stars | 23c | 1,570$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 1c | 1,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9496…7454backed Oilers | 46c | 1,335$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Stars | 54c | 1,314$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.44 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Stars | 53c | 1,310$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.14 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Oilers | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 64c | 1,240$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Oilers | 66c | 1,173$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.63 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Stars | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ec…faf4backed Oilers | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…5049backed Stars | 54c | 957$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 53c | 954.55$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.83 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers | 66c | 949.85$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.17 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…8713backed Oilers | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Stars | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 53c | 882.02$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.64 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Oilers | 36c | 843$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Oilers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Oilers | 77c | 832.25$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.54 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Stars | 20c | 799.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.99 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…25b5backed Oilers | 48c | 790.25$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…1922backed Stars | 36c | 772.9$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.9 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Stars | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Stars | 52c | 699$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…0a09backed Oilers | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2421…10cfbacked Stars | 55c | 652$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Oilers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oilers | 60c | 618.73$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.72 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 47c | 605$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Stars | 39c | 588$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.83 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…c20ebacked Stars | 52c | 572.13$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stars | 53c | 533.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.29 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Stars | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Stars | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Oilers | 46c | 499.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Stars | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Stars | 53c | 422.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 34c | 414.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Oilers | 47c | 409.24$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers | 51c | 408$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Oilers | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Stars | 53c | 377.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Stars | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…59e7backed Oilers | 64c | 354.19$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Stars | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Oilers | 77c | 344.28$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Stars | 53c | 321$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Oilers | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Stars | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…776ebacked Oilers | 80c | 299.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…4ff5backed Oilers | 50c | 299.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Starsthis page
- Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.