TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe997…1922

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT6942%29 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.57
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.63
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.07
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.1
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$26.33
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.15
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+130%+$64.26
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.26
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.33
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.57
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$25.99
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.45
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+83.2%+$16.05
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$125.23
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.98
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+64.9%+$151.08
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+64%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+204%+$2,620.27
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,107.01
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+138%+$1,117.75
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$254.26
All 5 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$62.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawaii vs. San Jose Statebacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.