TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,908,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,006,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,908,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Bulls39c196,060$75,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,556.964456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hawks61c131,986$80,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,779.3651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks62c68,809$42,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,979.91,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls40c51,162$20,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,752.842,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks63c50,000$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,50038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Hawks33c50,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks52c43,547$22,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,496.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls41c36,201$14,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,394.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Bulls54c35,920$19,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,701.7716846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Bulls39c35,889$13,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,892.2213455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Hawks60c23,947$14,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,387.2419958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls67c22,333$14,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,351.9559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls39c22,275$8,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,641.432,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Bulls77c22,238$17,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.069640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Bulls39c21,182$8,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,855.063636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls54c20,251$10,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,365.734,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hawks59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,799.961,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawks58c20,000$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,599.9251350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks1c19,821$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.211,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bulls79c18,972$15,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.387869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks62c18,954$11,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,694.131,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Hawks59c17,192$10,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,092.617141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Bulls51c17,073$8,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,364.445347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Hawks58c17,000$9,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,779.8716339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks61c15,996$9,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,827.031,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks46c15,644$7,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,251.032,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks36c15,503$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.241,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Bulls64c15,424$9,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,495.045046%23 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks30c15,000$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,434.381,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Hawks45c14,833$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,66617441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Bulls54c14,176$7,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,475.427917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls55c12,990$7,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782.213,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks35c12,099$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180.361,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9df…249ebacked Hawks46c11,810$5,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,432.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls67c10,687$7,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.31,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Bulls56c10,485$5,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.9519388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Hawks59c10,000$5,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,859.9847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hawks58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.881,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Hawks44c9,050$3,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.5721923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Hawks43c9,000$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,829.9944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Hawks62c8,993$5,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,575.9519351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Bulls37c8,973$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,652.9914549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…5901backed Bulls61c8,820$5,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks62c8,289$5,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,135.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bulls42c8,278$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.961,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hawks13c8,215$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hawks53c8,000$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.8534456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,88035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls42c7,994$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.453,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls40c7,890$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Hawks61c7,696$4,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,72115855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls68c7,136$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.0546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Bulls41c6,120$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.385848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Bulls39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6606339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e2…1f0ebacked Bulls40c6,000$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5caa…953fbacked Bulls37c6,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.951968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Bulls63c5,870$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.83756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hawks52c5,778$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.4947856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Hawks50c5,644$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.116051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Hawks59c5,555$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.9436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hawks55c5,452$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.7971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bulls39c5,175$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.9617658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hawks1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Bulls40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Hawks36c5,000$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bulls40c5,000$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.9848845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hawks60c4,625$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.431,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks28c4,526$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.0281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks36c4,427$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.021,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Hawks61c4,367$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6644647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…cab1backed Bulls38c4,297$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.372347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hawks61c4,293$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.7430947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Bulls37c4,208$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.1112151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Hawks62c4,200$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60411149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50fd…cd30backed Bulls36c4,200$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6882740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls42c4,111$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.752,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks33c4,080$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Hawks60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40022457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hawks20c3,967$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.0950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Hawks44c3,960$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.0418453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8398…fe44backed Hawks10c3,817$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.34837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls38c3,809$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.8724831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed Hawks62c3,540$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1954961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Hawks61c3,539$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.8327758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bulls39c3,384$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.5192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Hawks61c3,221$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.818339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9640…d0e8backed Hawks61c3,200$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Bulls64c3,162$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.031275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Bulls37c3,100$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Hawks59c3,091$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.559552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Hawks44c3,081$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.795848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks45c3,049$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Hawks32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9604245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a3…fe17backed Bulls43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7102250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks59c3,000$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.631,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd61…e592backed Hawks61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebf…82d5backed Hawks57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.933551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b4f…e2acbacked Bulls39c2,900$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Hawks32c2,871$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91753134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Hawks61c2,750$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.