NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6791065c010b58c85c5f226da7eb80ced5f0cafee6638c0b167b4cae8c971a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 52c | 33,356$17,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,012 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 19,565$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,386.55 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 12,222$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 50c | 3,973$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.14 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 3,339$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.5 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 2,853$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 54c | 2,781$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.93 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 45c | 2,622$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.74 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 2,130$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.19 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Under | 48c | 2,071$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.17 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 53c | 1,874$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 1,669$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.81 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 992$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 47c | 685.11$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 638$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 26c | 457$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 396.24$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Over | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 53c | 275$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 47c | 204.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 165.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 113.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 47c | 109.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af0…1929backed Under | 47c | 109.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 48c | 105.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…8814backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 52c | 85.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…b729backed Under | 51c | 78.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Under | 47c | 68.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 47c | 65.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…b7cebacked Under | 48c | 50.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…e072backed Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…4f1dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 47c | 27.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…becabacked Under | 52c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5this page
- Bulls vs. HawksBulls won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.