TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ea6…b729

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST3262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.33
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$27.33
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+68.7%+$41.25
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.1%+$20.05
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+77%+$30.8
Penguins vs. Flamesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$230
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,470
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.7%+$18.66
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$17.92
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.6%+$27.56
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.9%+$36.45
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+60.4%+$84.54
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+77.2%+$522.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3)backed Change The Game · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60.99
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Misa Esports (BO3)backed XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$135
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartalbacked Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.