NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f9e0625d1d6f26b7f446028d04a237c530674a0d97295021f0f8324c9cdd27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.66 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 5,900$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,496$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 2,642$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.83 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 51c | 2,029$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.99 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 49c | 1,888$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.87 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 1,886$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.72 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 46c | 1,245$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.66 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,106$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.71 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 584.79$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 53c | 258.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 207$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 203.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 46c | 169.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 166.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 44c | 138.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 49c | 87.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…b729backed Under | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 32.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be1…debdbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5this page
- Pacers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.