NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f378acc1cbf8dc78e0aa7b320d2e6d211908bd8dad6d1ed31d51c35c93ba3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 54c | 21,210$11,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,462.58 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.48 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 8,977$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 7,607$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 5,391$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 1c | 4,518$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 46c | 4,307$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 2,172$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 54c | 826$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.04 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 46c | 826$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.04 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 748.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 692.1$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 404.17$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 56c | 215.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 56c | 180.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 167.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Under | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 51c | 96.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 51c | 82.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 81.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 55c | 72.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Under | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 44.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…7b6bbacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5this page
- Pacers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.