NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7367af2838ef99fb1b226918648549b9472f98afd76b46a4c57e9a96cba999bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 58c | 68,045$39,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,317.35 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 27,301$11,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,936.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 21,600$8,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,984.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 6,375$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 42c | 6,000$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 52c | 3,843$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.66 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 3,309$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.14 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 2,527$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.63 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 32c | 2,357$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 2c | 1,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 59c | 1,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 51c | 1,402$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.96 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Over | 50c | 1,286$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 929$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.75 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 2c | 899.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 812.46$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 674$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 42c | 667$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 654.64$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.59 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 567$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 29c | 551$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.21 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 44c | 441.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 55c | 384$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 44c | 218.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 214.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 153.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 117$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 108.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 95.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 34c | 95.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Under | 46c | 74.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 66c | 39.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Under | 34c | 39.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 55c | 30.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 29.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- Pacers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.