NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cab3ac64acc223061a8ddb2da171a183abd0aba90c0376c9fb7f1e96ea44fab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Pacers | 52c | 104,916$54,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,146.47 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 48c | 59,750$28,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,801.83 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Pelicans | 53c | 19,274$10,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,142.98 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans | 48c | 18,000$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 15,290$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,827.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,003$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.5 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8610backed Pacers | 50c | 7,838$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 49c | 6,674$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.96 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…a885backed Pacers | 50c | 6,655$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Pacers | 52c | 3,694$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.42 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,920$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Pacers | 50c | 2,848$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,532$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Pelicans | 50c | 2,109$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.51 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Pacers | 51c | 980.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 48c | 941.22$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.3 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pacers | 50c | 853$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pelicans | 47c | 824.53$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…6c62backed Pacers | 53c | 824.53$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 47c | 690.68$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Pacers | 50c | 644.57$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.29 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers | 47c | 591$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.69 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Pelicans | 51c | 586.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Pelicans | 49c | 525.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Pacers | 49c | 422.45$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Pacers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Pelicans | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pacers | 49c | 359.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 48c | 337.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 48c | 307.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.85 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Pelicans | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Pelicans | 50c | 298.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Pelicans | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Pacers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Pacers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pacers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Pacers | 51c | 94.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Pacers | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pacers | 49c | 66.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Pacers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Pacers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Pelicans | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Pacers | 49c | 55.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Pelicans | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…05ecbacked Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Pelicans | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Pacers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pacers | 50c | 34.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Pacers | 49c | 34.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Pelicans | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…a121backed Pelicans | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Pelicans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…a8adbacked Pacers | 50c | 27.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pacers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)this page
- Pacers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.