Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea624bbf006f805b439970265f76dee461aba3ca247cf0edc8a987c8441e370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 3,279$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 2,689$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.91 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed No | 65c | 1,565$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Yes | 35c | 1,563$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 1,468$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 603$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.77 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 72c | 381.88$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 10c | 344.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 216$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed No | 66c | 215$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0c4abacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 59c | 134.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 28c | 90.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…8754backed No | 68c | 67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 32c | 64.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 62.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…b729backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 52.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…04b2backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42a…bf40backed Yes | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 75c | 27.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…e410backed No | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.