Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41fb467070e04aa727a4bdef0c4fcd2bb72ca80ac98f0ea384f060f50f458d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f84…800bbacked Yes | 5c | 9,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 4,250$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 3,779$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.29 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,704$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 1,656$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 611.8$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 504.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 273.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 23c | 232$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 186.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 171$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 26c | 72.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 38.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…e410backed No | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…331fbacked No | 74c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.