Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23af9dcfbd0e17794cf7a237cf767d12817fd14b5cddb9d73b388efa891c3423
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 63c | 36,513$22,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,612.76 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 10,540$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.8 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 37c | 3,717$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 2,987$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,882$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 2,834$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.26 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 40c | 2,482$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.52 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,413$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,450$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Yes | 18c | 1,082$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 22c | 883.08$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 849.5$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.55 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 827.07$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 37c | 820$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 17c | 734.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 538.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 256.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 62c | 231.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 37c | 187.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 37c | 159.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 112.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 99.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 21c | 80.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 37c | 75.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 63.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 61c | 62.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 61c | 59.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 37c | 48.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 37c | 48.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 62c | 45.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…e410backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…1f6bbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 29.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…f957backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…c4adbacked No | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 17.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.