TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$462,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c63,482$36,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,503.491,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c43,528$18,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,547.932,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No42c35,640$15,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,002.333450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.9610962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c18,831$8,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,578.616,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c16,944$7,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,153.454,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes55c14,072$7,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,330.232850%14 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes59c10,000$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,107.459845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked No49c10,000$4,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,943.293148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No46c9,324$4,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,317.5816851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes61c8,243$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.472748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c7,165$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.4285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No41c6,806$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.811,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes58c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.1320646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No41c5,022$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.4925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed No18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes56c4,450$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.4216753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No29c4,439$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No51c4,395$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.111,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No38c4,333$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.3627750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes61c4,121$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.122766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+64.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No44c3,011$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.333240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes49c2,756$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.2225052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes51c2,407$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.024358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No44c2,225$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.0414147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes57c2,105$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.269250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c2,061$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.531,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.997636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes56c1,750$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.993650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No22c1,419$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.799035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes54c1,051$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4625648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes56c1,047$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.883644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes58c1,036$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.292740.7%11 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.482634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes36c1,000$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.128842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No44c999.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.997844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No41c922.97$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.423240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac36…e266backed Yes57c888.77$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.171540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c872.09$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.142,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No46c800.42$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.661,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No33c776.26$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7629041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed No39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes50c718.4$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.85358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No42c688.68$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.871,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes29c683.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6729044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.671637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No29c666.48$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes62c655.92$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.373844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No27c654.98$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6914342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes51c648.34$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3428531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked No39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes28c600$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes56c573.62$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2514252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.832462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.89843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No44c499.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7951847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes57c490.33$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.841963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked No41c480.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.222429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No44c470.4$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6442324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes78c466.91$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.191625%4 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes77c451.09$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.322161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf81…80cebacked Yes44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+62.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes56c450$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19811143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked No23c440.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes46c440.56$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.886741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes29c436$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.569344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes54c434.16$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0418251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes48c418.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7510736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes61c411.16$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.165855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No70c407.76$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4340640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes38c400$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24623350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No66c349.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.493360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8f…b2f0backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No72c334.1$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3313842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes30c333.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.314440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.223531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes68c320.74$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7419654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed No25c315.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes21c313.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed No58c307.21$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.651729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1296240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked No42c280.17$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.931711.8%2 W · 15 L-7.4wins-0.43per pick55cpaid-79.8%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes59c271.19$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.197436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5694…6052backed Yes57c262.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.923237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed No43c233.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes61c230.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.467041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes31c229.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.038925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.