Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e955eee354a4c0b433525ab88bdeb175fdcf17d0b2eef2e56a6a669f9e47bce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Yes | 0c | 19,923$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 62c | 12,776$7,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.07 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Yes | 42c | 7,963$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 3,033$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.42 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes | 3c | 2,824$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 2,354$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.67 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 15c | 2,100$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.56 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 41c | 1,356$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 57c | 1,288$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,268$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 53c | 1,134$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.89 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 936.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 60c | 856$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 72c | 810.33$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.13 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 19c | 794.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 40c | 554.16$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.67 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…cae1backed Yes | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 77c | 399.15$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 61c | 327.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 309$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 49c | 303.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…9814backed Yes | 5c | 243.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…7757backed Yes | 8c | 235.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Yes | 30c | 209.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…d3cfbacked Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…d410backed Yes | 18c | 190.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 183.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 80c | 183$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 19c | 174$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 30c | 151.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 63c | 149.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 17c | 139$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes | 16c | 125.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 42c | 118.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 17c | 114.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed No | 73c | 100.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked No | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed No | 60c | 93.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed No | 60c | 79.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 74.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 17c | 70.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…5d73backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 60c | 61.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…a0c9backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 57c | 57.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 34c | 53.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 30c | 48.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…3430backed Yes | 42c | 47.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 61c | 41.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…11e8backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 62c | 31.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…e1aabacked Yes | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 62c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbe…047dbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.