TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Yes0c19,923$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No62c12,776$7,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.078962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6218…f388backed Yes42c7,963$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c3,033$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.422,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17016851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes3c2,824$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.411241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes41c2,354$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.671,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes15c2,100$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5611645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Yes4c2,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes41c1,356$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5562528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No57c1,288$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9923350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c1,268$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.416,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No53c1,134$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.8922458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c936.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.731305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No60c856$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.47252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No72c810.33$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1342043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes19c794.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes40c554.16$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6740640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16416737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4449…cae1backed Yes6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No77c399.15$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.419035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No61c327.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.957436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes8c309$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6819128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Yes49c303.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c270$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.151,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8733…9814backed Yes5c243.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ff…7757backed Yes8c235.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes18c222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.966346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed Yes30c209.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8019632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6755…d3cfbacked Yes41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…d410backed Yes18c190.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c183.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed No80c183$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes19c174$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9410820.4%22 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes30c151.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0218139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No63c149.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.165442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes17c139$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6335661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes16c125.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012425%6 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No62c125$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.221,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed No53c120.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.753762.2%23 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes42c118.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.63834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Yes17c114.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.574323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1f…6823backed No73c100.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.879262%57 W · 35 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d1…9daebacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207432.4%24 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445038%19 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd962…1d5cbacked No58c99.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.991861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.348759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed No60c93.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.553342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed No60c79.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.93935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Yes16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122516%4 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes18c74.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.481,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes17c70.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No64c69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed No60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.676953.6%37 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad42…5d73backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104339.5%17 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No60c61.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5355654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3057…a0c9backed Yes19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed No57c57.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes34c53.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575334%18 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes30c48.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.439137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc9…3430backed Yes42c47.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed No61c41.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.076936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed No80c39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7128654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3315949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3312162.8%76 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa2…11e8backed No60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Yes41c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No62c31.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125280.8%42 W · 10 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd95f…e1aabacked Yes48c29.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed No56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.684957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No62c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6439052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dbe…047dbacked No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.