TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x70b6…f2f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$207.86
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+108.5%+$541.17
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$304.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$114.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+173%+$173.01
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+119.2%+$536.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$166.67
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+200.5%+$802.09
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$377
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$270.83
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+193.3%+$290
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+98.2%+$392.73
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+57.4%+$373.07
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+80.5%+$402.6
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$250.79
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+488.2%+$488.24
All 24 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300.45
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$346
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$354.72
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$301.75
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$249.5
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$281.91
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$221.7
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$295
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$168.75
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.6%+$470.57
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$567.13
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$271.09
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+78.5%+$604.1
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+45.4%+$209.68
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,040
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+82.3%+$329.04
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$191.8
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$271
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.5%+$217.48
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,442
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$598
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.6%+$265.88
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.3%+$208.5
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will BK Häcken win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$260.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$300
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$208.47
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,097.35
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$611.76
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+76.8%+$383.84
Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+62.8%+$282.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Siena Saints vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Spread: Siena Saints (-2.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$189.36
Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-5.5)backed Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.4%+$462.01
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$368
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$160.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,094.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.