Europa Conference League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef8b0d658566f1c5bf8e1617c467b7324022c900950314237caaafc9c6358431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 5,764$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,923$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.42 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,892$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 50c | 861.93$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.34 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 779.41$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.51 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 6c | 661.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 49c | 428.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 419.92$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 313.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 46c | 151.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 49c | 142.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 118.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 54c | 111.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 37c | 109.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 51c | 107.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…4d9fbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 71c | 104.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed No | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 43c | 88.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…2d02backed Yes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…3762backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 52c | 45.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 51c | 43.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 61c | 42.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…52a7backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 39c | 41.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed No | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4b6dbacked Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Yes | 48c | 22.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked No | 52c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.