Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25bed8ffa73ae3d5094fcb9669950edae292db67f61839be6c31c1b65fd8542c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $605,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 37c | 188,932$69,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,576.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 67c | 61,945$41,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,503.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 36c | 56,434$20,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,117.99 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 33c | 52,697$17,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,306.94 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 40,900$24,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,811.83 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…2734backed Yes | 67c | 38,131$25,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,547.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 67c | 28,018$18,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,767.24 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 33c | 27,896$9,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,690.22 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 23,022$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 64c | 20,601$13,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,184.59 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 18,003$6,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,981.6 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 64c | 17,773$11,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,373.36 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 34c | 16,245$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,721.7 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 33c | 15,151$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 10,455$5,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,728.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Yes | 61c | 10,148$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 58c | 9,508$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.77 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 34c | 8,809$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 30c | 8,264$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.13 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 29c | 7,852$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 7,576$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.44 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 66c | 7,564$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 64c | 5,704$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.36 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 64c | 5,420$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.01 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…fd2dbacked Yes | 67c | 4,839$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 4,571$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.77 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 4,192$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.19 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 33c | 3,485$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 64c | 3,333$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 33c | 3,211$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 65c | 3,050$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.79 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,999$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 54c | 2,829$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.39 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 34c | 2,735$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 42c | 2,055$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.01 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.01 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 54c | 1,935$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.63 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 54c | 1,900$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.71 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,586$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 67c | 1,505$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 72c | 1,444$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.3 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 33c | 1,333$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 58c | 1,300$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 34c | 1,152$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 48c | 1,140$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 61c | 1,129$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 64c | 1,103$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.47 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 63c | 1,034$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.42 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked No | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 15c | 999.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 67c | 820.9$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 63c | 809.52$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…f453backed Yes | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 747$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 34c | 706$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed No | 34c | 669.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 65c | 646.35$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.13 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 33c | 599.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 33c | 589.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.66 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 59c | 586.44$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 54c | 556.93$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 49c | 551.97$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…1c83backed Yes | 66c | 535.56$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 27c | 522.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…c35cbacked Yes | 66c | 520$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…db80backed Yes | 49c | 506.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 63c | 505.05$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 66c | 499.97$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.73 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 34c | 498.23$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.24 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 495.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 35c | 491.65$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 66c | 483.33$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 63c | 476.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 25c | 454.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 32c | 452.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.