Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2a62142bb3638ee6beadea10a419f492d8021ed0c310d494899e07555325da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33df…337dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 10,370$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 78c | 6,936$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.92 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 78c | 4,803$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 2,427$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.79 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 1,804$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.14 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 75c | 1,758$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,013$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.03 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 77c | 899.99$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 827.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 22c | 705.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 588.74$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 559.01$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 73c | 530.19$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 526.32$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 22c | 505.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 32c | 406.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 70c | 335.71$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Yes | 32c | 315.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 22c | 303.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 28c | 281.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 271.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 67c | 263.17$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 22c | 231.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…1c83backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 32c | 190.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 28c | 178.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…f71dbacked Yes | 32c | 155.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 78c | 146.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 24c | 139.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 119$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 32c | 115.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 79c | 112.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 69c | 106.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…ab47backed Yes | 33c | 103.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 29c | 103.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…200cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 33c | 75.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 74.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Yes | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked No | 79c | 63.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 23c | 61.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 32c | 60.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 33c | 57.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 30c | 50.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 79c | 49.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 42.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked No | 72c | 41.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 25c | 41.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 68c | 39.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 77c | 34.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 32c | 33.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 31c | 33.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 70c | 29.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 26.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…120dbacked No | 78c | 14.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.