Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac814e102f57b11603d4ca9238a22783b73157193f8c28422d85ac0484cccd3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 22,324$6,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,244.54 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 60c | 5,091$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.42 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 3,906$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.69 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 61c | 2,949$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,683$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.53 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 51c | 2,250$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.5 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 43c | 1,999$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 39c | 1,499$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.76 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 31c | 1,400$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,342$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 1,236$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.32 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 63c | 806.8$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.71 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed No | 52c | 800$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 14c | 705.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.54 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 59c | 509.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 14c | 505.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.34 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 50c | 502.23$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 60c | 440$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 432.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.41 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 15c | 390.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 15c | 383.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.83 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 46c | 371.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.55 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 345$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 15c | 287.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed No | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 14c | 252.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.31 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 214.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 43c | 209.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 201.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 58c | 200.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 55c | 182.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 57c | 176.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 13c | 174.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed No | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Yes | 15c | 156$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…9147backed No | 60c | 145.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 54c | 137.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 15c | 135.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 60c | 123.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 57c | 120.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…fd5bbacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 27c | 119.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 15c | 118.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed No | 60c | 112.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed No | 57c | 110.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked No | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 75c | 101.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Yes | 50c | 98.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 66c | 95.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed No | 20c | 95.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 93.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked No | 60c | 84.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 49c | 82.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 81.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed No | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 14c | 78.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 71.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked No | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 36c | 68.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Yes | 42c | 68.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…6b7bbacked No | 43c | 63.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 19c | 52.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 55c | 51.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 50.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed Yes | 45c | 49.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ed…9b0fbacked No | 58c | 48.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 25c | 46.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…14c0backed Yes | 45c | 45.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…9e20backed Yes | 67c | 44.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.