TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb301…79dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.59
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+248.7%+$74.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.52
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$76.37
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+301.6%+$60.32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$57.56
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$110.74
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+55.4%+$220.11
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$10.15
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+65%+$32.51
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.4%+$281.59
Will Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$122.86
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.23
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+147%+$85.02
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$54.35
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$27.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$56.3
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+335.5%+$50.33
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$216.29
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick5cpaid+164.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,392.5%+$1,392.54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+784.5%+$1,505.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+252%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+63.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+226.9%+$45.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,016.99
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.