Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4a2e65501665db5699a3a53cbf2f5d5712e1318239ef585be809efb178298a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 69c | 21,029$14,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,508.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 7,598$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 6,664$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.06 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 33c | 4,846$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.41 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 4,002$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 3,152$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.92 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 2,253$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.53 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.97 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 1,418$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.81 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 21c | 1,200$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 1,081$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.39 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 987.39$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.29 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 51c | 891.5$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.76 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 72c | 875$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.92 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 852.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.83 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 72c | 697.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 71c | 682.41$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.93 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 24c | 666.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.24 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 76c | 555$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.8 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 24c | 555$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 550.27$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.13 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 76c | 343.55$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 76c | 342.76$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…6862backed Yes | 69c | 304.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes | 66c | 286.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 76c | 224.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 216.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 197.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 24c | 169.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 75c | 166.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 75c | 147.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 77c | 130.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 130.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 124.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 76c | 119.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 74c | 117.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 116.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 76c | 108.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 76c | 108.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 29c | 104.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Yes | 58c | 98.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 96.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 20c | 67.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 38c | 65.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 65.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 64.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes | 24c | 64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…258dbacked Yes | 28c | 61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed No | 72c | 58.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 67c | 58.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 41.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 38c | 39.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 77c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 42c | 37.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 29c | 35.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 72c | 35.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed No | 32c | 34.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 32c | 31.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 38c | 30.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 72c | 28.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…5d2dbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 70c | 21.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 64c | 19.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 74c | 17.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 73c | 16.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Yes | 78c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 72c | 15.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.