TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff05…18bbbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes57c6,178$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.613049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed No63c4,724$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c3,708$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.8546644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c3,412$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.5598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes37c3,304$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.372850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes45c3,036$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.1114060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6802763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes36c1,989$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.361338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No69c1,907$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.19431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c1,379$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7514955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c1,272$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8943748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No63c1,260$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.791844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes32c1,241$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes37c1,157$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.094341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c1,145$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.7323551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No45c949.64$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes34c909.68$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.6816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No63c861.29$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.687549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes19c714.57$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3612532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No68c669.41$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5414951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes51c588$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4211063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No51c566.85$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes37c556.12$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.88156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked No56c507.82$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No65c506.81$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.811947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No68c500.01$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.242650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2856129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes39c490.08$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes59c479.57$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.166471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes38c453.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.241861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No55c451.06$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.793850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes34c427.32$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No54c423.68$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.343253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c414.28$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked No53c378.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes9c375.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4630954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes57c368.42$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Yes16c339.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes34c297.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0524732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes20c282.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.962441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No64c251.25$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.45966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.59336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked No63c249.67$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.386850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc7d…305ebacked No74c239.12$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.17650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed No63c234.02$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.591163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked No63c232.49$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Yes38c228.71$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes34c216.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.752951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c210.01$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.110757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed No42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No65c180$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes39c178.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.541957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Yes34c176.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes55c175.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.223354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7743…1baebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No40c160.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.792842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b1…1933backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…ccd1backed No45c145.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c140.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.746823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No60c127$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2412156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c122.95$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c116.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.459714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No55c109.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.562646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No64c109.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.449065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes10c109$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.442751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked No44c103.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Yes37c102.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes56c100.16$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No63c98.11$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.921952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c94.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No56c91.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.192454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Yes47c90.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes36c87.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3611940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes32c85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.421330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes33c84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.724151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes37c82.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4811752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes35c80.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2713243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No63c73.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.023154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.232453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea7…c43cbacked No62c63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No58c62.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2211050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18d…8a38backed No64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes38c61.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.247631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb301…79ddbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed No64c60.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No50c59.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.